Rising Costs Signal Deeper Postal Service Challenges

The United States Postal Service announced a proposal this week to increase the price of a first-class forever stamp from 73 cents to 78 cents, effective July 13. This 5-cent hike, subject to approval by the Postal Regulatory Commission, marks yet another step in a series of rate increases aimed at stabilizing the agency’s finances. With operating revenue of $79.5 billion in fiscal year 2024, the USPS still posted a staggering $9.5 billion net loss, underscoring the urgency of these adjustments.

The proposed increase follows a pattern of frequent rate hikes, with stamp prices rising 56 percent since 2019, when they stood at 50 cents. Last year, the price jumped from 68 cents to 73 cents in July, reflecting a broader strategy under the agency’s 10-year Delivering for America plan. That initiative, launched in 2021, seeks to modernize infrastructure, enhance service reliability, and eliminate chronic budget deficits that have plagued the USPS for over a decade.

A History of Financial Strain

The USPS has faced mounting financial difficulties, exacerbated by a decline in first-class mail volume, which dropped to 46 billion pieces in fiscal year 2023—the lowest since 1968. Notably, mail volume peaked at 104 billion pieces in 2001.

Despite generating $24.5 billion from first-class mail in 2023, or 31 percent of total revenue, the agency struggles to offset operational costs. Unlike many government entities, the USPS receives no taxpayer funding for its day-to-day operations, relying solely on revenue from postage, products, and services. The 2021 restructuring plan initially aimed to erase $160 billion in projected losses by 2031, but current estimates still forecast $80 billion in deficits over that period.

Former Postmaster General Louis DeJoy, who resigned in March after nearly five years, had warned that ‘uncomfortable’ rate hikes were inevitable. He argued that a decade of flawed pricing models left the USPS unable to keep pace with inflation and rising expenses. His successor, Deputy Postmaster General Doug Tulino, now interim postmaster general, faces the same daunting task of balancing the books.

Details of the Proposed Rate Changes

The latest proposal extends beyond stamps, with a 7.4 percent average increase across mailing services. Domestic postcards would rise from 56 cents to 62 cents, while international postcards and letters would climb from $1.65 to $1.70. Metered letters and other mail products face similar upticks. However, the USPS plans to lower postal insurance costs by 12 percent, offering a small concession amid the broader price surge.

The agency justifies these changes as critical to its long-term survival. ‘As changes in the mailing and shipping marketplace continue, these price adjustments are needed to achieve the financial stability sought by the organization’s Delivering for America 10-year plan,’ the USPS stated. Officials also note that, despite the increases, U.S. postage rates remain among the lowest globally, a point of pride for an agency fighting to stay competitive.

Broader Implications for Mail Users

For everyday Americans, the stamp price hike means higher costs for sending letters, paying bills, and shipping small packages. Since 2019, the cost of a forever stamp has jumped from 50 cents to a proposed 78 cents—a 56 percent increase that outpaces general inflation. Small businesses, which often rely on USPS for affordable shipping, may feel the pinch most acutely, especially as e-commerce giants like Amazon and FedEx dominate larger parcel markets.

USPS avoided a January rate hike this year, breaking from its recent twice-yearly pattern. However, the July 13 adjustment, if approved, will mark the fifth significant increase in six years. This relentless upward trend has sparked concerns about declining mail volume, which fell 6.1 percent in 2023 alone, as customers turn to digital alternatives like email and online bill pay.

Structural Reforms and Future Outlook

Beyond rate hikes, the USPS has pursued operational changes to shore up its finances. In February, new service standards were adopted, projected to save $36 billion over 10 years by streamlining delivery processes. Proposals to eliminate evening mail pickups in rural areas could save an additional $2.8 billion to $3.3 billion annually, though they’ve drawn criticism from states like Wyoming, where officials argue it undermines election integrity and rural connectivity.

The agency’s leadership remains optimistic, emphasizing that price adjustments are a necessary bridge to self-sufficiency. With mail volume at historic lows and costs rising, the USPS stands at a crossroads, balancing its legacy as a public service with the harsh realities of a shifting marketplace.

USPS Annual Mail Volume Since 1926

An Act of February 28, 1925 authorized the Postmaster General to account annually for revenues and costs associated with different types of mail, making annual estimates of mail volume have been available since then.

Number of Pieces in Billions. Source: USPS

Year

Pieces

1926

15,266

1927

16,284

1928

16,706

1929

17,170

1930

16,901

1931

15,824

1932

14,598

1933

10,878

1934

11,557

1935

12,498

1936

12,731

1937

13,882

1938

14,226

1939

14,657

1940

15,224

1941

15,989

1942

16,972

1943

--

1944

20,510

1945

21,009

1946

20,059

1947

20,665

1948

21,948

1949

23,206

1950

24,500

1951

25,578

1952

26,502

1953

27,257

1954

27,085

1955

28,713

1956

30,078

1957

31,561

1958

32,218

1959

32,274

1960

33,235

1961

34,289

1962

35,333

1963

35,833

1964

36,943

1965

38,068

1966

40,422

1967

41,998

1968

43,183

1969

46,411

1970

48,640

1971

50,036

1972

48,933

1973

50,965

1974

51,594

1975

51,373

1976

52,108

1977

53,654

1978

55,981

1979

57,926

1980

60,276

1981

61,410

1982

62,200

1983

64,247

1984

68,429

1985

72,440

1986

76,187

1987

78,869

1988

84,749

1989

85,855

1990

89,270

1991

90,285

1992

90,781

1993

92,169

1994

95,333

1995

96,296

1996

98,216

1997

99,660

1998

100,434

1999

101,937

2000

103,526

2001

103,656

2002

102,379

2003

99,059

2004

97,926

2005

98,567

2006

98,016

2007

96,297

2008

90,671

2009

82,727

2010

77,592

2011

72,522

2012

68,674

2013

65,754

2014

63,849

2015

62,599

2016

61,240

2017

58,834

2018

56,712

2019

54,936

2020

52,628

2021

50,664

2022

48,940

2023

45,982

2024

44,312

Source: USPS.com

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